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Re:Statement on AI Risk by duvenaud on Tuesday May 30, 2023 @07:01PM (#36132316)
I think it's very unlikely that any of those would lead to human extinction, especially since most of those take decades to unfold, and would still leave large parts of the earth habitable.

Toby Ord wrote a book trying to estimate each of these risks, and put AI on top: https://www.amazon.ca/Precipice-Existential-Risk-Future-Huma...

Re:Statement on AI Risk by cwkoss on Tuesday May 30, 2023 @07:28PM (#36132565)
Well, I think paperclip maximizers or 'kill all humans' skynet scenarios are extremely implausible.

From the examples we have, intelligence is anticorrelated with sadism and avarice.

Re:Statement on AI Risk by duvenaud on Tuesday May 30, 2023 @08:55PM (#36133211)
Sure, but think about how humans drove others extinct. We never decided to "kill all wooly mammoths", we just wanted to use their meat / habitats for other things.

The correlation you mention seems noisy enough that I wouldn't want to bet my civilization on it.