Re:Statement on AI Risk
by adamsmith143 on Tuesday May 30, 2023 @02:13PM
(#36128369)
If AI improves by 0.0001% per year on your favorite intelligence metric there will eventually be a point where it surpasses human performance and another point where it surpasses all humans combined on that metric. There is danger in that scenario.
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Assuming that timeline, can we agree that we have some time (years?) to hash this out further before succumbing to the ideals of a select few?
Re:Statement on AI Risk
by adamsmith143 on Tuesday May 30, 2023 @05:22PM
(#36131032)
The problem is that even with N years until we reach that point it seems likely that it would take 2*N years to build the proper safety mechanisms because at least currently capabilities research is racing far ahead of safety research. Of course we have no way to know how big N really is and recent results like GPT-4, Llama, Gato, etc. have shifted peoples timelines significantly. So even if 5 years ago people like Geoff Hinton though this might be 30-50 years away there are now believable arguments to make that it might be more like 3-10 years.