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A comment on Baseball statistician tries politics and bats almost one thousand.

Re:Baseball statistician tries politics and bats almost one ... by jpavlik on Monday November 10, 2008 @10:13AM (#359257)
Silver predicts White Sox lose 90 games. Is ridiculed in baseball circles. Vindicated when they end up sucking.

Silver predicts Rays win 88 games. Is ridiculed further. Rays win 97 games and go to the World Series. Absolute vindication.

That said, I hate his player projection systems. You can't predict baseball (though he comes about as close as you can).

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Re:Baseball statistician tries politics and bats almost one ... by fallentimes on Monday November 10, 2008 @02:54PM (#359619)
The GM of the Arizona Diamondbacks is a stats whiz as well:

http://www.azcentral.com/sports/diamondbacks/articles/2008/0...

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/nl/diamondbacks/2007...

This year wasn't an accident.

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Re:Baseball statistician tries politics and bats almost one ... by fallentimes on Monday November 10, 2008 @02:52PM (#359615)
Why don't you like player projection systems? While it's impossible to accurately predict almost anything as complex as baseball consistently, players projections are an awesome tool.
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Re:Baseball statistician tries politics and bats almost one ... by jpavlik on Tuesday November 11, 2008 @10:23AM (#360559)
I can understand why people like them. I don't say they suck and they're of no use. I just don't like them personally. Not really sure why. I think it's because the line "you can't predict baseball" keeps running through my head. PECOTA is as accurate as they come, though.
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