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A comment on Baseball statistician tries politics and bats almost one thousand.

Re:Baseball statistician tries politics and bats almost one ... by ojbyrne on Monday November 10, 2008 @07:32AM (#359150)
Um, I (and the whole world) called it for Obama before 10pm that night. It seemed clear to me that the "incumbents" must have been legally required (or something) to wait till the polls closed on the west coast before they could make it official.

And lots of people called the election months before too. I followed http://electoral-vote.com/ just because I followed them the last two elections. The job of prediction they did was comparable. Though FiveThirtyEight.com did seem to have more/better features.

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Re:Baseball statistician tries politics and bats almost one ... by unalone on Monday November 10, 2008 @12:50PM (#359444)
Yeah, but he had it predicted back in March, and by two weeks before the election he had nearly every state accurately predicted.
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Re:Baseball statistician tries politics and bats almost one ... by ojbyrne on Monday November 10, 2008 @03:56PM (#359715)
I was mostly commenting on the fluff at the start of the article about calling the election at 9:48 EST.
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Re:Baseball statistician tries politics and bats almost one ... by unalone on Monday November 10, 2008 @06:02PM (#359888)
Agreed. That was silly.
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Re:Baseball statistician tries politics and bats almost one ... by josefresco on Monday November 10, 2008 @08:57AM (#359199)
Agreed, if this guy had called the election in 04, or a more difficult call in '00 I would be impressed. As a democrat who saw 1 election stolen and 1 botched by Kerry, even I was confident in falling asleep early knowing we'd pull this one out.
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Re:Baseball statistician tries politics and bats almost one ... by MaysonL on Monday November 10, 2008 @05:12PM (#359824)
He didn't call the election in '04, but one of his co-workers did call Obama a future president back then, after his convention speech.
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