Re:America Forgot About IBM Watson. Is ChatGPT Next?
by ramraj07 on Saturday May 06, 2023 @10:42AM
(#35841830)
Given that neither Google or Meta or any other company or open source solution is even coming close to the performance of merely the publicly released handicapped version of gpt-4 (no image interpretation, plug-ins is not fully released, etc), OpenAI might not have a moat (I’d argue there is a moat: the moat seems to be only a handful of people in the planet seem to be smart enough to innovate at this level), they have a year or more headstart and are clearly exploiting it and not slowing down. So yeah if I could buy openai shares I’ll buy it at a $500B valuation at this point.
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Re:America Forgot About IBM Watson. Is ChatGPT Next?
by api on Saturday May 06, 2023 @10:47AM
(#35841880)
It’s a lead but not a moat. If they slow down they are not likely to maintain that lead.
Similar things could be said for example about SpaceX with reusable rockets, but with a capital intensive industry like that it might take a decade or more for others to catch up.
Software iteration time is very fast, so if OpenAI slows down others could catch up in a year or two.