Re:Nate Silver: Some personal news
by toss1 on Tuesday May 02, 2023 @10:27PM
(#35796993)
>>[Citation needed]
I was watching it in real time. The effect was mostly in 2022 (they hadn't really gotten it going in 2020)
Here's the 538 headline before election day about how the Republicans were in very good shape, even potentially a blowout win [0]
In fact, it was the exact opposite.
Yes, there was a lot of statistical handwaving about how they were really right, but, not really. BTW, this was just the top result from a DDG search, and is only one of the things I remember.
I was watching it in real time. The effect was mostly in 2022 (they hadn't really gotten it going in 2020)
Here's the 538 headline before election day about how the Republicans were in very good shape, even potentially a blowout win [0]
In fact, it was the exact opposite.
Yes, there was a lot of statistical handwaving about how they were really right, but, not really. BTW, this was just the top result from a DDG search, and is only one of the things I remember.
[0] https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/2022-polling-error/