News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Disney is shrinking FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver (and ... by mempko on Tuesday April 25, 2023 @07:57PM (#35708262)
Somewhat related: The problem with Nate Silver and most others in this game is they don't treat the statistics they show as random variables. I want to see confidence intervals for all statistics. They just show 'Chance of winning is X" instead what they need to so is 'Change of winning is between X and Y'. It's such a simple change I'm shocked nobody does it including Nate Silver.

It's all what I call 'pop statistics' at this point and IMO hurts the public and democracy.

Re:Disney is shrinking FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver (and ... by kadoban on Tuesday April 25, 2023 @09:28PM (#35708785)
You do not have to dig far _at all_ on 538 to find that info. They prominently display the distribution of their results.