Re:You're solving the wrong problem
by AlexBucataru on Tuesday February 07, 2012 @10:35PM
(#3564914)
In experimental tasks, parallelizing does not provide the same gain in success probability as accelerating the process of prototyping.
Building prototypes in parallel does not provide the benefit of a feedback loop, as the iterative process does.
Let's say you have a 10% probability of success on the first attempt, which improves by 40% after each experiment (to 14%, 19.6%...), and you have resources for 5 attempts. The chance of getting at least one successful solution is: parallel ~ 40.95%; iterative ~ 72.19%
Building prototypes in parallel does not provide the benefit of a feedback loop, as the iterative process does.
Let's say you have a 10% probability of success on the first attempt, which improves by 40% after each experiment (to 14%, 19.6%...), and you have resources for 5 attempts. The chance of getting at least one successful solution is: parallel ~ 40.95%; iterative ~ 72.19%