>> In the same way, you can assume whatever you want, but GPT-4 is not "superhuman intelligence". It just isn't, for any meaningful definition of those words.

It's also not 2030 yet, so the prediction has 7 more years to be false in its full form. If it happens in 2040 will people be upset that it was 10 years later than predicted?

1993 + 30 = 2023

Get outta here with your witchcraft!

He specifically gives the range 2005-2030 in the paper :)

Yes, that's what ChatGPT says: Assuming that a tail is a leg does not actually make it a leg. Dogs have four legs, regardless of the length of their tail.

So the fact that it might have outsmarted you means it is not intelligent?

I think humans tend to have a definition of intelligence that is too far fetched in my opinion. They confluate it with things like conscience, meaningfulness etc, which just might be human hallucinations.