What's my bias ? I want this to work - I want to expend less effort to do my job - so far the problems where ChatGPT would fit in the workflow it's taken me more time to fact check the plausible bullshit it generates than doing it the old fashioned way.

Copilot is way better at generating boilerplate.

The one task I did find it useful was converting model types to open API spec - out of trying to use it for a month.

Your bias is that you want it to do your job, but extrapolating that since it's no good at that (for whatever reason), that it's no good for anything and forgetting that there are many other jobs out there.

I agree with your general sentiment and have been slumming on r/singularity lately where there has been a ton of hype. One thing that I think I've gleaned from my reading the comments there, is that people who aren't as skilled at using search engines find ChatGPT to be magical.

To my way of thinking, crafting the perfect prompt is about the same, or more, effort than crafting the perfect Google search. In both cases I'll probably have to double check the sources if I want a critical analysis of the results.

It might be worth considering, for those that GPT is helping a lot, what are you using it for? And for those that GPT is not helping, what are you trying to do with it?

"Programming" is a pretty broad activity description. I can readily imagine that AI tools, trained on publicly-available data, would be more helpful with, say, Wordpress plugins than with flight control systems.