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Re:The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks by simondotau on Wednesday March 29, 2023 @06:34AM (#35355164)
This is a common refrain among people who are not studying Tesla’s progress particularly closely, and/or are unfamiliar with what LIDAR actually does. Long story short, Tesla FSD still has some way to go before it is ready to be a properly autonomous robotaxi — but where it's failing are not areas where adding LIDAR would help. Tesla's vision stack is already sufficiently capable of mapping the three-dimensional environment with sufficient precision.

Tesla FSD needs better planning strategies when faced with unusual obstructions like novel construction zone diversions. LIDAR can't help there.

Tesla FSD desperately needs more road sign reading skills. LIDAR can't read road signs.

Tesla FSD will eventually need to recognise law enforcement officers and respond to hand gestures. LIDAR cannot disambiguate a LEO from any random person, nor can it translate hand gestures into intent.

The long tail of driving is dealing with the extremely obscure and yet blatantly straightforward tasks. LIDAR is useful for none of them.

Re:The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks by rightbyte on Wednesday March 29, 2023 @07:10AM (#35355447)
Lidar's are excellent at verifying that the 3d model map is correct. E.g. a perpendicular semitruck with trailer on the road.

For item recognition the resolution gets low quick though with range.

Re:The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks by simondotau on Wednesday March 29, 2023 @08:38AM (#35356350)
You're right, that's something LIDAR is definitely ideal for, but again, Tesla's vision stack is doing just fine here, when observing other people's use of FSD beta.
Re:The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks by flutas on Wednesday March 29, 2023 @01:10PM (#35360153)
> Lidar's are excellent at verifying that the 3d model map is correct.

IIRC Tesla does use LIDAR in their test vehicles to measure the ground truth of their 3D model maps. They just don't do that with every single car on the road.

Examples:

https://twitter.com/gbrulte/status/1395356317410287617

https://electrek.co/2020/06/29/tesla-spotted-testing-prototy...

Re:The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks by maxerickson on Wednesday March 29, 2023 @08:30AM (#35356255)
Wouldn't LIDAR be useful to help it not occasionally drive into objects?

Waymo talks about using LIDAR on their gesture recognition system: https://blog.wing.comhttps//blog.waymo.com/2022/02/utilizing...

Re:The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks by BucketsMcG on Wednesday March 29, 2023 @12:44PM (#35359798)
Is this the same vision stack that was pulling up ahead of stop signs in some places because the signs were bigger than it expected?

If it can't make sense of something as simple as that, why would I trust it with hazards?

https://www.thedrive.com/news/teslas-can-be-tricked-into-sto...

Re:The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks by WorldMaker on Wednesday March 29, 2023 @01:43PM (#35360616)
Certainly that is the current Tesla PR spin that their vision stack is good enough to not need it, but it is hard to see why LIDAR wouldn't be useful for defense in depth against the situations like people tricking Teslas into painted tunnels like Wile E. Coyote. Especially when we all know the reality is that LIDAR is extremely patent protected and expensive to buy because of that and Tesla dropping LIDAR was pure cost cutting.

(Self-driving seems to me to be somewhere you absolutely want as much defense in depth and redundant sensors as possible.)

Re:The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks by simondotau on Thursday March 30, 2023 @09:47PM (#35381358)
I'd like to see someone exposing a Tesla to a intricately produced Wile E. Coyote tunnel. I would predict that it would stop, because the vision stack leans heavily on motion vectors to map out drivable space. And even if it didn't, the tunnel could only be painted to have the correct perspective at one point along the road. Moving closer would result in the model seeing the road get narrower, causing the car to slow down (narrower roads necessitate slower speed) until it gets within a few car lengths — at which point the painted road would appear so narrow as to be literally undriveable.

If Tesla hasn't already tested this in simulation, I'd be astounded.

Also if a false tunnel good enough to fool FSD beta, I'd suspect it'd also be good enough to fool a decent proportion of human drivers too.

Re:The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks by WorldMaker on Friday March 31, 2023 @05:09PM (#35393699)
Certainly there is some hyperbole there, but not by much: https://screenrant.com/stop-tesla-autopilot-fsd-self-driving...