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Re:The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks by seanmcdirmid on Tuesday March 28, 2023 @10:57PM (#35351724)
They could probably get there if they wanted to, but the profitability for them wouldn't make it interesting enough, and the low end, where it really sells (i.e. outside of the USA), is crowded by Chinese car companies.
Re:The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks by DennisP on Wednesday March 29, 2023 @12:07AM (#35352365)
In one of Sandy Munro's videos, he said he thinks Tesla can manage costs of $19K. The size of the market increases dramatically as you go down the price curve, which makes a $6K profit per car plenty interesting.

That certainly seems to be what Tesla thinks at least, unless they were completely lying to investors about the volume they hoped to achieve.

Re:The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks by seanmcdirmid on Wednesday March 29, 2023 @02:16AM (#35353308)
Why invest 200 million USD to make 1 billion when you can invest the same to make 10 billion? The problem is that expanding isn’t free, you take the most probable business first. The low end is growing rapidly, but the players already there will ensure that Tesla doesn’t make $1k of profit per vehicle. They can’t compete with a Wuling Mini EV for $4k, or whatever BYD has up to the model 3 price point.
Re:The EV Transition Is Harder Than Anyone Thinks by DennisP on Wednesday March 29, 2023 @09:10AM (#35356719)
I don't see many Wulings for sale in the US, and Tesla is selling plenty of Model 3 in China.

Tesla did take the most profitable business first. Now they're expanding to the mass market. You might disagree that it's the best strategy, but it's the one they're following; if you don't believe me, just watch Investor Day.