Right! Just thinking about it makes me laugh. Maybe in 10 that aspect of things would happen better or outsourced to Ai also? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

That what is said yes.

The organisational politics is because the organisation is full of humans. The AI will get better at requirements capture, I'd wager.

I'll wager the opposite because even modern AI sucks at anything other than language interpretation. AI is absolutely awesome for history recall, but ask it to innovate and you will find where the limits lie.

Also I've yet to run across a single AI that can successfully implement a new feature in a 10+ year old code base that consists of a hundreds of thousands of lines of code and a gazillion different dependencies.

Believe me, I've tried. It would make my job MUCH easier.

Well, with AI's ability to complete more tasks companies will get smaller anyway. No programmers means there isn't a need for managers for those programmers. It means there aren't separate teams with different priorities. Someone "at the top" will speak to the computer, the change will be implemented and taken care of automatically. There will be no organizational politics to navigate.

That assumes that the end-user know what they want, which is seldom the case.