> This 10x productivity absense of a 10x expansion of programming industry (which is very unlikely)
I think I disagree. If software then becomes 10x cheaper, a lot of use cases that used to be too expensive to build now becomes affordable. At my own job, I think we could easily do 10x the business, because our customers need tons of tooling (for example for energy transition) but we don't have the people (among other problems).
Re:Post-GPT Computing
by margorczynski on Friday March 24, 2023 @02:40PM
(#35293632)
What if those use-cases disappear also because they were made for humans? Will there really be a need for spreadsheets and spreadsheet plugins when all that works is done by an AI with a little help of some headless tool or scripting language?
if we look at the last 30 years: yes. The IT industry doesn't seem to be developing towards anything that resembles efficiency or minimization of work. For every useless technology, a caste of users and a caste of experts are created in order to be able to absorb the information that can be generated.
The information society is a machine maximizing information exchange, something that only incidentally implies increasing profit or increasing productivity.
The world have moved beyond zero sum economy a long time ago.
This 10x productivity absense of a 10x expansion of programming industry (which is very unlikely) translates to less developers in general, including senior ones. Even more so in an economy like this...
>It means competition between companies will increase but it isn’t necessarily bad for existing software engineers, especially solo founders.
"Solo founders" is what? 1/10,000 of working programmers? And they're absolutely not the ones people worry about regarding GPT replacements...