Re:Ask HN: Will Large Language Models be like another indust...
by veqq on Thursday March 23, 2023 @05:28PM
(#35281545)
Honestly it very much looks like that. With current technology, we just need feasible integrations to disseminate and we can remove huge swathes of knowledge workers.
This will enable many new business models, but the amount of paying customers may rapidly decline too, complicating matters. Blue collar workers (especially around the world), can to a large extent already be automated away (ordering screens at restaurants, arms deep frying chicken and putting it on a conveyor belt... e.g. workerless KFCs in Russia: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7cighS7cNvk or a Chinese restaurant in a rustbelt city my mom visited with a robotic waiter bringing food from the kitchen). Costs just have to decrease to make this feasible.
And at the current rate of improvement - friends in the field say many techniques from 2018 papers still aren't in production - I honestly doubt if even the top 5-10% of capable workers can truly keep up. It's horrifying and challenging...
But yes, this is all in the backdrop of a new revolution in industry!
This will enable many new business models, but the amount of paying customers may rapidly decline too, complicating matters. Blue collar workers (especially around the world), can to a large extent already be automated away (ordering screens at restaurants, arms deep frying chicken and putting it on a conveyor belt... e.g. workerless KFCs in Russia: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7cighS7cNvk or a Chinese restaurant in a rustbelt city my mom visited with a robotic waiter bringing food from the kitchen). Costs just have to decrease to make this feasible.
And at the current rate of improvement - friends in the field say many techniques from 2018 papers still aren't in production - I honestly doubt if even the top 5-10% of capable workers can truly keep up. It's horrifying and challenging...
But yes, this is all in the backdrop of a new revolution in industry!