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A comment on Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 25 basis points.

Re:Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 25 basis po... by scrlk on Wednesday March 22, 2023 @02:01PM (#35264801)
Latest dot plot (page 4, PDF): https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcproj...

Of note - no cuts planned for this year.

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Re:Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 25 basis po... by MuffinFlavored on Wednesday March 22, 2023 @08:27PM (#35269006)
but fed futures contracts aren’t believing it/pricing it in, right?
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Re:Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 25 basis po... by quickthrowman on Wednesday March 22, 2023 @10:13PM (#35269675)
Fed funds futures traders are expecting a cut at the July meeting by a slight margin, and a 95% chance of a cut by the December meeting as of tonight.

https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch...

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Re:Federal Reserve to increase interest rates by 25 basis po... by MuffinFlavored on Thursday March 23, 2023 @11:03AM (#35275906)
71% of a cut by July

91% of a cut by September

95% of a cut by November

Kind of weird that the head chair of the Federal Reserve board comes out and says "no cuts this year" verbatim, and this pricing mechanism you and I look at says the exact opposite?

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