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Re:Newfound Asteroid May Strike Earth in 2046, NASA Says by robotsteve2 on Wednesday March 15, 2023 @12:57PM (#35171217)
1. Uncertainty in the speed, direction, position.

2. Uncertainty in the model (e.g. influence of external bodies besides the sun and earth).

Kinematic motion models are exact but our knowledge of all the variables involved is not.

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