News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:GPT-4 is phenomenal at Code by dragonwriter on Tuesday March 14, 2023 @11:31PM (#35163476)
> What you are likely looking at is a classic hockey-stick exponential graph. And there is no ceiling yet in sight.

Its a pretty ironclad rule that all growth charts that look exponential are really closer to logistic and seem like they are going to go up more rapidly forever until they suddenly flatten out.

Re:GPT-4 is phenomenal at Code by 1attice on Tuesday March 14, 2023 @11:47PM (#35163589)
Fine, but you missed the second sentence that you quoted. There is no ceiling in sight, so we have no way of knowing how high this curve is likely to go.

For now, it approximates exponential. That's bad.