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Re:GPT-4 by slingnow on Tuesday March 14, 2023 @02:24PM (#35156175)
> People still really find it hard to internalize exponential improvement.

I think people find it harder to not extrapolate initial exponential improvement, as evidenced by your comment.

> My immediate thought was always, "Yes, the current version can't, but what about a few weeks or months from now?"

This reasoning explains why every year, full self driving automobiles will be here "next year".

Re:GPT-4 by jimbokun on Tuesday March 14, 2023 @02:27PM (#35156243)
When do we hit the bend in the S-curve?

What's the fundamental limit where it becomes much more difficult to improve these systems without some new break through?

Re:GPT-4 by pbhjpbhj on Tuesday March 14, 2023 @02:59PM (#35156745)
When running them costs too much energy?
Re:GPT-4 by jimbokun on Tuesday March 14, 2023 @03:47PM (#35157301)
When should we expect to see that? Before they blow past humans in almost all tasks, or far past that point?