How to explain the Monty Hall problem to a disbeliever

Re:How to explain the Monty Hall problem to a disbeliever by curiousgal on Tuesday March 14, 2023 @07:35AM (#35149910)

Imagine there are 999 boxes with nothing in them and one box with the keys. After picking a box, the hosts opens 998 empty boxes. Would you still stick with your initial choice?

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Re:How to explain the Monty Hall problem to a disbeliever by jstx1 on Tuesday March 14, 2023 @07:39AM (#35149940)

I would change my choice because I understand the problem. But I would also change my choice in the scenario with 3 boxes. I'm not arguing with the conclusion, what I don't understand is the people who have their mind changed by the argument.

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Re:How to explain the Monty Hall problem to a disbeliever by curiousgal on Tuesday March 14, 2023 @12:35PM (#35154201)

> the remaining unopened box is different from the box your picked originally.

Because you now know that every other box is empty. So by process of elimination you know that your box and the remaining one are different.

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