after being here for over 10 years (not on this account), i've observed that hn is basically split into two groups: people with money, and people who don't have much of it.

the people with less money are much more vocal about it, for obvious reasons.

What you state is perhaps obvious, I would not even bother to open a new account to conceal my identity just to say that...

It is a bimodal distribution of (1) the lucky ones and (2) the ones either "not yet lucky" ones (1/10) or the "never lucky"ones (9/10).

I find it refreshing to hear stories about how things did _not_ work out (from the sources). It is much harder to get the real stories behind the successes because people tend not to ascribe things to luck but create some story after the fact in the same way, as they say, "the winner writes the history".

if you believe in good luck, do you believe in bad luck? you frame it as "not lucky" instead of "bad luck".

in other words, if you ascribe success to nothing in particular other than luck, why do you put more stock in the negative case? couldn't failure be caused by nothing other than bad luck?

reading failure stories to look for what to avoid might not be the right strategy if you believe in a world where luck dominates.