Re:Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
by Retric on Wednesday March 01, 2023 @01:02PM
(#34985855)
Your chart show’s declining life expectancy from 2014-2018, but it’s recent data also disagrees with other sources.
“In 2021, an American was expected to live 76.1 years—down 2.8 years from the 2014 peak of 78.9 years. This backslide has erased all life expectancy gains since 1996, according to recent data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.” https://publichealth.jhu.edu/2022/life-expectancy-is-declini...
For more data check here: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/vsrr/vsrr023.pdf
Re:Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
by standardUser on Wednesday March 01, 2023 @01:03PM
(#34985897)
Like I said in my related comment, some severe cherry-picking.
Re:Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
by Retric on Wednesday March 01, 2023 @01:08PM
(#34985979)
US Life expectancy fell in 10 of the last 12 years. That doesn’t seem like cherry picking to me.
Re:Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
by standardUser on Wednesday March 01, 2023 @03:18PM
(#34987721)
We both know the trajectory has been towards longer lives and the only major aberration is the one we have just experienced due to the pandemic. Yes, you can probably find some sets of years where in increase was minimal or there was a minor decline, but the larger trend is so painfully obvious we shouldn't even be discussing it.
Re:Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
by Retric on Wednesday March 01, 2023 @03:24PM
(#34987804)
Every single year after 2014 has had a lower life expectancy than 2014, that’s a real indication that the long term trend has changed.
Granted we might reasonably exclude COVID when trying to figure out the trend, but even then it looks at best flat from 2010.
Re:Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
by twobitshifter on Wednesday March 01, 2023 @02:48PM
(#34987335)
Is this adjusted for the pandemic?
Re:Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
by Retric on Wednesday March 01, 2023 @03:12PM
(#34987632)
In what way?
The decrease in life expectancy from 2014-2018 is well before the pandemic. Going forward when say pricing life insurance it’s worth considering pandemics or at minimum the the likely endemic nature of coronavirus variants becoming endemic.
Re:Today's 5-year-olds will likely live to 100
by standardUser on Wednesday March 01, 2023 @12:59PM
(#34985804)
Life expectancy has actually dropped over the last two years, but it would be some severe cherry-picking to not acknowledge the role COVID played in that, let alone the multi-decade trend of increasing life expectancy overall.
However, lifespan is a crude metric. Healthspan is really what we should be targeting. I don't want to live to 150 if 60 of those years are spend miserable in a nursing home hooked up to machines keeping me alive.