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A comment on One Year into the War in Ukraine. Parent comment

Re:One Year into the War in Ukraine by freefrog334433 on Friday February 24, 2023 @05:46PM (#34931253)
No appeasement has been the reason for fighting wars since WW2. This shows a misunderstanding of the wars. In Vietnam, it was called the domino theory, except Vietnam was a war of independence. The war on terror - invade Iraq so the terrorist don't come here. The Russians are not going to invade NATO countries.
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Re:One Year into the War in Ukraine by ninjagoo on Friday February 24, 2023 @06:01PM (#34931422)
> No appeasement has been the reason for fighting wars since WW2.

Do you have any evidence for this statement?

> The Russians are not going to invade NATO countries.

Isn't this what everyone, including Russia, minus the US Administration, was saying about Ukraine prior to Feb 24, 2022? [1][2]

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukrai... [2] https://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-ukraine-putin-invasion-a...

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Re:One Year into the War in Ukraine by miguelazo on Friday February 24, 2023 @06:39PM (#34931841)
Europeans thought it could be avoided because they still had naive beliefs about the nature and motivations of the US security state. The invasion was quite predictable. So predictable that the RAND Corp recommended virtually all of the steps that the US took in order to facilitate the invasion.

https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR3063.html

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Re:One Year into the War in Ukraine by ninjagoo on Friday February 24, 2023 @06:51PM (#34931975)
> The invasion was quite predictable. So predictable that the RAND Corp recommended virtually all of the steps that the US took in order to facilitate the invasion.

Your link appears to contradict your conclusion that the US took steps to facilitate the invasion. Specifically, key findings from the link are below, and appear to advise against facilitating the invasion (geopolitical and ideological measures) and instead focusing on economics.

> Key Findings

> Russia's weaknesses lie in the economic domains

> The most promising measures to stress Russia are in the realms of energy production and international pressure

> Geopolitical measures to bait Russia into overextending itself are likely impractical, or they risk second-order consequences

> Ideological measures to undermine the regime's stability carry significant risks of counter escalation

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Re:One Year into the War in Ukraine by yks on Friday February 24, 2023 @05:57PM (#34931392)
If anything your examples show that aggressors don't care about diplomatic compromises as long as they believe in their total military victory.

> The Russians are not going to invade NATO countries.

Depending on how US elections go, NATO can be no longer a meaningful project anyway. So yes, they are absolutely going to invade if encouraged to do so. Eastern Europeans clearly understand that.

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