I believe that Kagan is also mostly a QI supporter, given her generally deferential disposition towards the executive branch and its agencies. So your read on the bench’s leanings here seems to be almost entirely wrong. You’re unlikely to see a more friendly bench for challenging QI for years: Thomas, Gorsuch, Jackson, and Sotomayor seem to be votes against QI in its current form while Alito, Kagan, and Kavanaugh are votes for keeping QI.

Wokay, I stand corrected on that.

I don’t think there’s a correct answer here, I’m just reading tea leaves too.

Yeah, no, you made an interesting point, that's all I'm saying.