Ask HN: How to get good at analyzing and predicting technology/startup trends?

Posted by MikeLumos on Monday February 20, 2023 @02:30PM
from the ask-hn dept.

( 6 comments | on HN )

Re:Ask HN: How to get good at analyzing and predicting techn... by gtonic on Monday February 20, 2023 @02:46PM (#34872025)

Good question - just some weeks ago I summarized my personal method/approach on tech research: https://www.alp54.com/posts/awesome-tech-research/ Further getting in touch/playing around with technologies (prototyping, etc...) might help to get here as well.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Ask HN: How to get good at analyzing and predicting techn... by surprisetalk on Monday February 20, 2023 @04:01PM (#34872852)

"The best way to predict the future is to invent it." - Alan Kay

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Ask HN: How to get good at analyzing and predicting techn... by testTED on Monday February 20, 2023 @11:11PM (#34876450)

Reading the Twitter and blog posts of those who are is a second-best.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Ask HN: How to get good at analyzing and predicting techn... by JohnFen on Monday February 20, 2023 @04:23PM (#34873122)

Historically, I seem to have an accuracy of about 60% in determining when something new on the scene will be important or not. Better than chance, but not by much.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Ask HN: How to get good at analyzing and predicting techn... by gcatalfamo on Wednesday February 22, 2023 @05:32AM (#34893862)

Is your answer giving any insight to OP on how they should do it?

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Ask HN: How to get good at analyzing and predicting techn... by testTED on Monday February 20, 2023 @09:26PM (#34875710)

Just keep reading.

Effort and time spent are the secrets.

[ Parent | on HN ]