Re:Wyoming wants to phase out sales of EVs by 2035
by jefftk on Sunday January 15, 2023 @12:28PM
(#34391122)
> I would be surprised if there even is a mainstream ICE car available in 2035.
I'd be happy to bet on that!
There's no state in the US where electric cars are a majority of what are sold today, with the highest fraction being CA at 18%. [1]. Naive extrapolation gives you 57% of CA in 2030 and 30% of US. [2] The combination of "some people are going to still prefer gas cars" and "those people are concentrated in some states" means I'd expect many ICE options available in 2035.
I'd be happy to bet on that!
There's no state in the US where electric cars are a majority of what are sold today, with the highest fraction being CA at 18%. [1]. Naive extrapolation gives you 57% of CA in 2030 and 30% of US. [2] The combination of "some people are going to still prefer gas cars" and "those people are concentrated in some states" means I'd expect many ICE options available in 2035.
[1] https://www.gov.ca.gov/2022/10/19/california-zev-sales-near-...
[2] https://evadoption.com/ev-sales/ev-sales-forecasts/