I don't understand how that's possible. I don't know of any lakes or rivers or aquifers larger enough to provide water to almost 40 million people in California.
https://www.nature.org/media/california/california_drinking-...
The large greenery to the right is the Colorado River which provides 15% of CA water at the bottom.
It provides 60% of California water.
Even removing the farms, I couldn't find any data supporting that it was enough water for the rest of California.
But that doesn't necessarily mean that it can't either.
The data I found says the Sierra Nevada watershed supports 750,000 farms.
Is that equivalent to 15 million people or so?
Those aren’t gifts to the rest of the country (and, actually, much of it is exported directly internationally), they are cash crops, and the lifeblood of rural California.
> California would immediately become a failed state on its own, unable to meet even the most basic needs of its residents
Of course CA independence would be economically harmful and disruptive. Doesn't mean CA won't be able to provide its own water by taking an ag trade economic hit.