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Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by maxbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @12:35PM (#34108463)
Seems like there's a group of people who want him to be obliterated and will be dissatisfied at every step if it isn't mounting his head on a pike. It's honestly one of the more disturbing parts of the story for me.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by JumpCrisscross on Friday December 23, 2022 @12:39PM (#34108496)
> group of people who want him to be obliterated and will be dissatisfied at every step if it doesn't result in his head on a pike

He’s a fraudster who was content evading justice in the Bahamas for years to come. Of course there is popular desire for retribution, even beyond that which exists and continues to build against crypto at large.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by maxbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @12:43PM (#34108548)
If you believe he's guilty beyond a shadow of doubt, it shouldn't disturb you that he's on house arrest instead of in prison. His trial will last a year or two, his sentence probably be 10 to life (probably closer to the "life").
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by BobbyJo on Friday December 23, 2022 @12:51PM (#34108648)
Why not? He did plenty more harm to plenty more people than many others who had to wait in jail for their trial. I think it's perfectly rational to be upset that someone who destroyed billions in wealth is treated more kindly by the justice system than than people who've done far less damage.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by ethanbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @12:57PM (#34108712)
Did he destroy billions in wealth?

Seems to me that he made chart go up for no reason and everyone was perfectly happy with that, and when chart went down for the same reasons (i.e. fraud/no legitimate reason) then everyone is upset about it.

If people are upset about lesser offenses getting handled more aggressively, they should spend some time lobbying for lesser offenses to get handled less aggressively.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by whatshisface on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:04PM (#34108790)
He didn't destroy money, he transferred it from whoever trusted him to the people he bought things from or made losing trades with on the market. He destroyed wealth by directing it away from honest business, and that's very hard to quantify the effects of. If I had to guess how he justifies it all in his head, it's that he was taking money away from the financial sector and giving it to the Future Fund.

This is an absolute guess because I don't know, but I think a lot of it was average joe crypto-curious investors having their money stolen and then given to the smart financial firms who were on the winning side of his secret bad bets. There may also have been some pension fund involvement because they seem to be caught up in this stuff on a regular basis. (Because of the way bonuses work, managers can skim off the top by investing in known Ponzi schemes and taking the credit for the 20% returns. They know they're not going to have to pay those bonuses back when they're inevitably "surprised." This happened with Madoff and was a big contributor to his success.)

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by ethanbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:33PM (#34109129)
Right, so he stole $x and "destroyed" $y. My position is that the theft is real and the destruction is not.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by mise_en_place on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:36PM (#34109158)
He operated a Ponzi scheme, so yes, he did in fact destroy billions in wealth. What is the evidence to the contrary? The fact that FTX destroyed billions in wealth is not relevant to this trial at all. It’s whether or not he intentionally and maliciously defrauded his customers.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by anonymoushn on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:53PM (#34109343)
It's not correct that he operated a Ponzi scheme. A Ponzi scheme involves selling people equity, then not actually having the underlying business, lying about returns and paying redeemers using money from other depositors. If I open a bank or "fintech" and let people deposit dollars and just steal their dollars without ever claiming that their balance of dollars has increased, it's not a Ponzi scheme.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by anonymoushn on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:28PM (#34109081)
He stole like 10 billion dollars from his customers. Not sure how much of it he managed to subsequently destroy vs. successfully convey to other people, but does that matter?
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by ethanbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:32PM (#34109117)
Well one way in which it matters is that destroyed wealth is irrecoverable. It no longer exists. Stolen wealth might still exist somewhere and might be recoverable.

Also is it $10B in stolen deposits?! I seem to be coming across a $1-2B figure but admittedly haven't been following super closely.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by anonymoushn on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:41PM (#34109216)
Yes, about $10b of customer funds.

Funds misappropriated by Alameda and spent on VC investments may ultimately have become people's salaries. Some politicians have announced their intention to donate an amount of money equal to SBF's contributions of customer funds, but it's unclear whether they mean "donate to my own 501(c)(3)" or "return to FTX to be paid to creditors" and the phrasing certainly sounds more like the former. Most of the funds were probably embezzled (you will hear these people say "loaned" I guess) by FTX/Alameda executives or lost as part of Alameda's trading operations. Recovery of trading losses is extremely unlikely, especially trading losses that occurred long before the bankruptcy on venues other than FTX. SBF and BlockFi are currently arguing that each of them should receive the $441 million of Robinhood shares that SBF purchased using customer funds. "Hackers" stole about $500 million of customer funds from FTX US and FTX Intl immediately following the bankruptcy, and these funds have (mostly?) made their way into RenBTC and been bridged to native BTC and sent to mixers.

Some FTX customers who withdrew funds as part of their normal operations will face clawbacks, and some other FTX customers such as Modulo Capital and @AlgodTrading who have essentially stolen from all other creditors will hopefully also face clawbacks, but the total amount recoverable this way is maybe $1-4 bn, and all of these people are creditors anyway, so giving the money to other creditors doesn't do anything to address the shortfall.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by DennisP on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:15PM (#34108904)
This has nothing to do with the chart. FTX terms of service promised that if customers had a simple account, without signing up for higher-risk stuff, then FTX would hold their full assets at all times without putting them at risk.

Then SBF allegedly moved those assets over to Alameda for risky trades, and also pulled some out to buy fancy houses.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by ethanbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:30PM (#34109103)
It's still early to tell but as far as I can see, there's <$2B of customer deposits missing, and even insofar as those are missing, they have been stolen and not destroyed.

The "billions destroyed" seems more likely to refer to the general "destruction" of nominal wealth which, I posit, wasn't real to begin with.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by anonymoushn on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:33PM (#34109126)
Where are you getting this $2B figure? The claimed "liquidity shortfall" was $8-10B and most of the assets (MAPS, SRM, OXY, FTT) are worthless. I would expect people in the FTX creditors telegram group for example to post about it if there was news that caused the expected value of our claims to increase from 10-30c to 80c.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by ethanbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:34PM (#34109136)
Ha just replied to your other comment. I'd trust your $10B figure over mine!
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by loeg on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:05PM (#34108811)
Yes, he destroyed (or stole) billions in customer deposits.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by maxbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @12:54PM (#34108676)
I agree the inequity of the justice system is terrible. I disagree with what I perceive as calls for his head.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by fanso99 on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:08PM (#34108837)
You are intentionally exaggerating this situation. People are calling for him to be jailed — a perfectly reasonable call.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by maxbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @02:32PM (#34109744)
Intentionally? Are you proposing I have some kind of agenda, or just that I'm being willful in some way?

This is my honest read of the situation, you're welcome to disagree. I have no agenda, only an opinion.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by fanso99 on Friday December 23, 2022 @03:12PM (#34110102)
Intentional in the sense that you understand that you are exaggerating and still repeatedly do it. No one is calling for him to be flogged or beheaded in front of the White House. Jailing a fugitive, a flight risk financial scammer is not unreasonable. He was extremely wealthy at one point and so there is a chance he has enough money stashed somewhere to make fleeing a possibility. In addition, defrauding thousands if not millions of people is a heinous crime, for which the perpetrator should not be given any easy treatment. When we ("the society") catch a serial killer, we agree that letting them go free on a negligible bail and an IOU note is not wise.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by maxbond on Saturday December 24, 2022 @12:46AM (#34114346)
No, I am not exaggerating while secretly agreeing with you or something. That it may interpretation; you are free to disagree with it, but it's my sincere interpretation. Please avoid supposition about my mind state and intentions, if you want to know something about those subjects, just ask.

We deny bail to serial killers to avoid putting lives at risk, not because they're extra guilty. There's no indication SBF is a danger to anyone around him, and the conditions of his bail include counseling in case he's a danger to himself. Maybe he does have a house in Argentina with a stack of unmarked bills, who knows, but that is that the bond and the ankle monitor are for.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by JumpCrisscross on Friday December 23, 2022 @12:45PM (#34108572)
> believe he's guilty beyond a shadow of doubt, it shouldn't disturb you that he's on house arrest instead of in prison

I don’t believe in his guilt beyond even reasonable suspicion. I do think he is a flight risk. He is delusional enough to attempt it, and may have the hidden means by which to make it.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by maxbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @12:51PM (#34108645)
Okay. So he's on house arrest, wearing an ankle monitor, and if he flees his parents will never recover financially. What's the problem?
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by anonymoushn on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:30PM (#34109099)
Some people may see it as unjust that SBF gets to chill in a $4mm Palo Alto house while some of his depositors may not have houses as a result of having their funds stolen by SBF.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by maxbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:34PM (#34109142)
That makes sense, but shouldn't impact the decision of the court, since he's presumed innocent.

I'm totally game for working for a more equitable society where everyone gets to live in dignity even if they put their money into bad crypto exchanges though. Let's definitely do that, regardless of what happens in this case.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by JumpCrisscross on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:14PM (#34108892)
> on house arrest, wearing an ankle monitor, and if he flees his parents will never recover financially. What's the problem?

That it’s not a jail. Jails are tougher to get out of than ankle bracelets.

His parents are going to spend the rest of their lives fighting civil lawsuits, if not criminal cases of their own. Losing their home is a matter of time. It is difficult to even say to what degree their plight matters to him.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by toomuchtodo on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:20PM (#34108970)
What do you believe their motivation is for contributing towards his bail based on the consequences they're facing? It seems somewhat strange they didn't say, "nah, lock him up until trial" considering the sword of Damocles above their estate and past performance of the accused.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by JumpCrisscross on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:30PM (#34109097)
> What do you believe their motivation is for contributing towards his bail based on the consequences they're facing?

The love of a parent for their son. That's a benefit of doubt I'd need to see extraordinary evidence of sociopathy to discard.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by olol on Friday December 23, 2022 @12:42PM (#34108532)
actually it seems like the opposite
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by loeg on Friday December 23, 2022 @12:45PM (#34108577)
It's just clearly not a $250M bond. Almost nothing to do with SBF himself. I mean, also, fuck the guy, but the prosecutors claiming this is a 250M bond are just being absurd. This is a $4M bond, or maybe up to $12M depending on the assets pledged by the lesser guarantors. It's a far cry from $250M claimed by the prosecution.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by dragonwriter on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:01PM (#34108759)
> It's just clearly not a $250M bond.

It is, in fact, a $250M bail bond, people just have a very wrong mental model, based on a bad generalization from an already slightly wrong mental model of the terms when an arms-length bail agent provides surety to the court for the defendant, of what that means.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by gemstones on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:18PM (#34108950)
I get that this is technically not how bail works - it just turns out that how bail works is stupid.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by loeg on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:49PM (#34109299)
> people just have a very wrong mental model, based on a bad generalization from an already slightly wrong mental model of the terms when an arms-length bail agent provides surety to the court for the defendant, of what that means.

Are you familiar with the "please don't sneer" guideline?

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by maxbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @02:00PM (#34109408)
I don't think "please don't sneer" means "forego all metacommentary," and I didn't interpret this as particularly sneering or mean or rude. Cursory inspection of dang's citing this rule seems to be really broad, really rude snark, I don't think this comment fits the pattern I'm seeing there.

I'd propose our discourse would be hobbled if we couldn't make comments like, "many people in this discussion have misconception X". But perhaps "very wrong mental model" was too many superlatives and "misunderstanding" would've been sufficient.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by moralestapia on Friday December 23, 2022 @12:45PM (#34108579)
What?(!)

The guy stole billions from average people AND big time investors (he pissed on both buckets), he then proceeded to make such dumb mistakes that make him seem like it has a borderline mental issue, he also happens to be an absolute zero for charisma. How do you expect someone to sympathize with him, honestly?

What would you like to happen then?

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by maxbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @12:50PM (#34108634)
He's been charged, there's a mountain of evidence against him, and he's facing trial. That's what my expectations were. I don't think see a need to crank every step of the process up to 11. He's on a conveyor belt leading to a meat grinder.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by fanso99 on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:10PM (#34108857)
People are upset that he is getting special treatment. Again. He doesn't deserve it.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by dragonwriter on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:36PM (#34109157)
> People are upset that he is getting special treatment.

He's not, and the perception that he is comes from a misunderstanding of the systems involved, which is why the descriptions of how this is supposedly special treatment or surprising tend to include as the foundation multiple layers of wrong assumptions about how bail works in general.

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by z3c0 on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:28PM (#34109078)
That really makes me wonder if these people have ever followed a rich person's trial before. They all get special treatment. They even get special incarceration.

Do any of them deserve it?

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by maxbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:25PM (#34109039)
Is he getting special treatment or do people not have detailed knowledge of how the criminal justice system operates and so are objecting to any perceived leniency at every step?
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by fanso99 on Friday December 23, 2022 @03:21PM (#34110190)
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by maxbond on Saturday December 24, 2022 @12:22AM (#34114246)
That judge recused herself because their husband works at a law firm that advised FTX - note the husband did not work with FTX, other people in the same law firm did. We found out about it from the judge, to avoid the appearance of impropriety - not because any impropriety is alleged to have happened. This wasn't even the same judge who approved the bail. I'm not seeing the conspiracy.

This really seems to me like a Thursday in the criminal justice system, with every single step being scrutinized and cast into the worst possible light.

https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/judge-sbf-case-recuses-h...

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by cageface on Friday December 23, 2022 @01:14PM (#34108898)
At least in my circle the people screaming the loudest for his head are the same people that are adamantly opposed to any government regulation of crypto. I think they're just mad that SBF spoiled their get rich quick scheme.
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by plsbenice34 on Friday December 23, 2022 @02:17PM (#34109590)
He was pushing for absurd regulations himself, such as KYC for front-ends of decentralised exchanges, so it is no surprise that they weren't his fan. More importantly, people who are in those groups tend to be aware how much he stinks of government corruption given his family ties, religion etc. - so it has always been assumed that he will get unfair treatment - and now it is seemingly turning out to go as expected. He is part of 'the establishment' that acted against the interests of the space. Regulations are also seen as only protecting the interests of the traditional financial system rather than actually protecting people; that's exactly how it seems to go so far
Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by maxbond on Friday December 23, 2022 @02:48PM (#34109869)
> More importantly, people who are in those groups tend to be aware how much he stinks of government corruption given his [...] religion...

He "stinks of corruption" in part because he's Jewish? How am I meant to interpret this as anything other than bigotry?

Re:Bankman-Fried's Shrinking ‘$250M Bond’ by cageface on Friday December 23, 2022 @04:09PM (#34110649)
How is it turning out as to be expected? He's being prosecuted and faces a very severe sentence if convicted.