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Re:The Risk of Orbital Debris and One (Cheap) Way to Mitigat... by schiffern on Monday December 19, 2022 @11:43AM (#34054195)
>it will be about a thousand years before you get to a 1 in 1000 chance. Is that about right? Don't trust my math.

The ESA's long-term collisional evolution simulations, as visualized in this video[0], seem to disagree with that result.

[0] https://youtu.be/9cd0-4qOvb0

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