Re:Peter Norvig critically reviews AlphaCode's code quality
by johnfn on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:24PM
(#34022610)
> By that logic a parrot should be doing calculus within 10-20 years of its first word. Unlikely...
If a parrot's brain grew exponentially every year for 20 years, then I might expect it to. :)
> It's a fallacy to anthropomorphize a pile of linear algebra, relate it to a scale of human development, and extrapolate that AI is on a similar trajectory of progress/potential.
I don't believe I said any of those things.
Re:Peter Norvig critically reviews AlphaCode's code quality
by CamperBob2 on Friday December 16, 2022 @10:33PM
(#34024268)
By that logic a parrot should be doing calculus within 10-20 years of its first word. Unlikely...
I don't know about parrots, but if you could take a corvid and grant it the same rate of improvement in brain size and training input that these models are receiving, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised to see it doing calculus within 10-20 years.
Re:Peter Norvig critically reviews AlphaCode's code quality
by nighthawk454 on Saturday December 17, 2022 @01:22AM
(#34025362)
Size isn't everything. It's not about the brain growing - it's about the teaching methods. Right now, I think it's still an open question whether current architectures and objectives are for sure capable of reasoning/AGI/etc or not. If they're not, then scale itself isn't the answer.
It's a fallacy to anthropomorphize a pile of linear algebra, relate it to a scale of human development, and extrapolate that AI is on a similar trajectory of progress/potential.
Relevant xkcd: https://xkcd.com/605/