Re:Who knew the first AI battles would be fought by artists?
by yourapostasy on Thursday December 15, 2022 @09:24AM
(#33999905)
> The reason ChatGPT isn't threatening programmers is for other reasons. Firstly, it's code isn't 95% good, it's like 80% good.
The role that is possibly highly streamlined with a near-future ChatGPT/CoPilot are requirements-gathering business analysts, but developers at Staff level on up sits closer to requiring AGI to even become 30% good. We'll likely see a bifurcation/barbell: Moravec's Paradox on one end, AGI on the other.
An LLM that can transcribe a verbal discussion directly with a domain expert for a particular business process with high fidelity, give a precis of domain jargon to a developer in a sidebar, extracts out further jargon created by the conversation, summarize the discussion into documentation, and extract how the how's and why's like a judicious editor might at 80% fidelity, then put out semi-working code at even 50% fidelity, that works 24x7x365 and automatically incorporates everything from GitHub it created for you before and that your team polished into working code and final documentation?
I have clients who would pay for an initial deployment of that for an appliance/container head end of that which transits the processing through the vendor SaaS' GPU farm but holds the model data at rest within their network / cloud account boundary. Being able to condense weeks or even months of work by a team into several hours that requires say a team to tighten and polish it up by a handful of developers would be interesting to explore as a new way to work.
The role that is possibly highly streamlined with a near-future ChatGPT/CoPilot are requirements-gathering business analysts, but developers at Staff level on up sits closer to requiring AGI to even become 30% good. We'll likely see a bifurcation/barbell: Moravec's Paradox on one end, AGI on the other.
An LLM that can transcribe a verbal discussion directly with a domain expert for a particular business process with high fidelity, give a precis of domain jargon to a developer in a sidebar, extracts out further jargon created by the conversation, summarize the discussion into documentation, and extract how the how's and why's like a judicious editor might at 80% fidelity, then put out semi-working code at even 50% fidelity, that works 24x7x365 and automatically incorporates everything from GitHub it created for you before and that your team polished into working code and final documentation?
I have clients who would pay for an initial deployment of that for an appliance/container head end of that which transits the processing through the vendor SaaS' GPU farm but holds the model data at rest within their network / cloud account boundary. Being able to condense weeks or even months of work by a team into several hours that requires say a team to tighten and polish it up by a handful of developers would be interesting to explore as a new way to work.