I ran into an interesting point about poker in a recent episode of EconTalk[0]. Really good players play slightly more hands than they should (ie on a tournament table with 9 seats, a good player might play 15-20% of hands). Amateurs play way more hands than they should - like 50% or so. Translating to this thread, I’d map “playing a hand” to committing real resources to a project (switching tech stacks, etc). Pros will be somewhat conservative and only take that bet when they have a higher expectation of success.

[0] https://www.econtalk.org/annie-duke-on-the-power-of-quitting...