Re:France prepares for possibility of electricity blackouts ...
by driuha on Sunday December 04, 2022 @08:15AM
(#33853421)
Occam's razor is the idea that, in trying to understand something, getting unnecessary information out of the way is the fastest way to the truth or to the best explanation (c) wiki
The explanation about dictator's desire for power(now also life) is more simple than geopolitics and cultural suppression.
And about the needs of the Russian people: I don't remember Russians having a debate about starting a full scale war. Maybe Putin thinks its what they need but if there was a real debate we can safely assume people would prioritize having in-house toilets and a million other things that are suddenly became not so important.
Re:France prepares for possibility of electricity blackouts ...
by oska on Sunday December 04, 2022 @09:18AM
(#33853897)
You are 'applying Occam's razor' to a fiction, not reality. Anyone can dream up a fiction (or take one supplied to them) and then draw a simplistic conclusion from it.
Re:France prepares for possibility of electricity blackouts ...
by driuha on Sunday December 04, 2022 @10:27AM
(#33854486)
I'm applying explanation to a fact. "Fiction" is not the right property to categorize explanations, the right one would be "probability". So yes, anyone can dream up an explanation and then judge if one is more probable than the other.
(In parenthesis, I will also note the very silly but oft-repeated mistake of conflating Putin with Russia in the comment above. Russia does not act on the whims or personal ambitions of Putin; indeed, Putin stays in power largely by responding to the needs and desires of the Russian people, and the pressure inside Russia for him to act against the existential threat building on the Russian/Ukrainian border has been very strong and he has faced criticism for not acting earlier.)