Your company will hire two people out of a candidate pool of 1,000. You're told that Well-connected Walter is one of those 1,000 and is guaranteed a job. Your hiring team is going to go through and interview the remaining 999 and find you the top candidate. After a month of interviewing, you are presented with your two new hires: Well-connected Walter and Meritocracy Mary. What are the chances that these two are actually the best two hires, rather than the best hire and a mediocre hire?