It might win in the sense that that would then also be a thing that exists, but would not necessarily mean that Mastodon can no longer be what it is now, I don't think?
Re:Mastodon’s Eternal September Begins
by YetAnotherNick on Thursday November 10, 2022 @05:42PM
(#33554650)
Google talk had XMPP which is very similar to Fediverse, but then XMPP (mostly)died and Google talk survived
I remember it the other way around, Google killed Talk and repeatedly replaced it with non-XMPP things while XMPP survived to this very day!
Re:Mastodon’s Eternal September Begins
by YetAnotherNick on Thursday November 10, 2022 @06:36PM
(#33555234)
By Google talk I meant all its successor like hangouts and google chat. It's more like they moved its users to new service rather than killing it. Same with facebook messenger, which supported XMPP.
Sure yeah XMPP is surviving but it's nowhere close to Google chat or FB messenger.
It's kind of having a renaissance as more people discover the world outside of walled gardens. Platforms die eventually, internet standards are here to stay.
That will entirely work in favour of big companies. If there was a split and only one split is capable of serving 100 million users that split will win.