Re:The Weird-Looking, Fuel-Efficient Planes You Could Be Fly...
by bobthepanda on Thursday November 10, 2022 @07:13PM
(#33555628)
The problem is that, what airlines want, and what regulators want, is now too expensive to independently develop and start a new competitor for, even if you are well resourced like China, Japan or Russia (which all have attempted and failed to break into international aviation sales).
A new aircraft development is a $15B+ R&D investment, for the price and fuel efficiency and safety required. McDonnell-Douglass and more recently Bombardier messed up their bets and it cost them their independent existence.
Anyway, the resulting company is too large to fail, and thus, too large to exist. We're at a point where we could really use the competition we had in aerospace companies back in the 80s, when there were enough competitors in both military and commercial aviation for competitive pressures to keep the players working to provide innovation and value. (Rather than milking the market with intentionally poor designs a la Boeing's 737MAX.) Modern airlines have only two vendors to choose from now that Boeing and Airbus have gobbled up even their second-tier competitors.
Personally, I'd love to see what the old Convair, LTV, pre-Martin Lockheed, or pre-McDonnell Douglas might come up with in this competition...