Sounds like a Bayesian Network, which is precisely how I tend to think about it.

Though I think one aspect is missing, namely something describing the emotional loss that will be felt if a dogma has to be rejected.

In fact, the most destructive dogmas may be those where the older has serious subconscious doubt about the validity of the belief, but where their entire identiy may be shattered if they have to give it up.

Questioning such dogma tends to become very strong taboos or potentially heresies worthy of cancelling or even death.