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Re:A global house-price slump is coming by ericmcer on Friday October 21, 2022 @02:36PM (#33291501)
So if you are a first time home-buyer who needs a loan to purchase a home you are going to get shafted on interest rates, but if you already own real estate you can either buy stuff cash or sell a property and defer capital gains to buy a new one. I struggle to see how raising interest rates helps the class that is most reliant on loans to even enter the market.
Re:A global house-price slump is coming by wwweston on Friday October 21, 2022 @04:20PM (#33292604)
I'm not sure about this either. My guess is that there are two factors at work:

1) raising rates and otherwise making money more expensive encourages capital to do something else with their money than speculate on real estate cheaply, which was a pretty appealing option over the last 5-6 years (let alone the last 2).

2) it's a mistake to rely on interest rates alone to address issues here. There's a whole raft of policy issues that should be brought into play here: progressive taxation by ownership volume and vacation-rental usage, better interest breaks for first-time homebuyers, encourage owner restoration and discourage investor-flippers. BUT every other way of addressing the policy is actually harder politically, since one party sees inequality as feature-not-bug and will actively fight attempts to address it (especially if it represents a win for their opposition), and the other has both a tenuous hold on power and a coalition that may not be all on board.