Re:How We Would Know When China Is Preparing to Invade Taiwan
by dirtyid on Monday October 03, 2022 @03:10PM
(#33072238)
Respect Culver, one of the sounder PRC analyst out there.
But article talks about moves PLA modernization is trending towards. Exercises are going to get larger with increasingly huge mobilization for training purposes, munition factories are going to start stockpiling after improved jointness narrows procurement, state censorship apparatus can turn on dime.
All of which ignores PRC actual invasion will be preempted by long range / standoff attacks from land, air and sea. Even an autist like Ian Easton acknowledges PLA rocketry gives TW leadership ~8minutes of warning max before decapitation strike.
The more PLA modernizes, the larger the scale of joint training/exercises, the less warning there will be.
But article talks about moves PLA modernization is trending towards. Exercises are going to get larger with increasingly huge mobilization for training purposes, munition factories are going to start stockpiling after improved jointness narrows procurement, state censorship apparatus can turn on dime.
All of which ignores PRC actual invasion will be preempted by long range / standoff attacks from land, air and sea. Even an autist like Ian Easton acknowledges PLA rocketry gives TW leadership ~8minutes of warning max before decapitation strike.
The more PLA modernizes, the larger the scale of joint training/exercises, the less warning there will be.