Re:“Please be our voice” - Message from students at Sharif U...
by danielheath on Sunday October 02, 2022 @10:56PM
(#33063009)
I don’t think that’s factually correct.
As far as I am aware, most successful movements of this sort win when security forces are no longer willing to fire on them because the crowd includes some of their relatives and friends.
It's easy to convince security forces to return fire, but more difficult to convince them to fire on unarmed civilians.
The primary method for a regime to keep its security forces in line is to ensure their extended families are well-off (this is easier to do if you draw them from a single, government-privileged ethic group).
1. is factually incorrect. 2019 had them burning basij buildings. 2. also factually incorrect. 2019 as geographically spread as this one. 3. Incorrect. It's middle class this time. 2019 were lower class. 4. Also incorrect. At this point I suspect this is the first protest in Iran you ever noticed and you're just making stuff up.
I agree that it's probably the biggest women rights protest in history. But historically, woman rights protests never ever led to regime change. You need desperate men and violence.