Re:Ask HN: Seriously, steelman this please. 7,400 employees ...
by bbarnett on Wednesday September 28, 2022 @05:00PM
(#33013194)
In other words, the timeline for what you're predicting is much longer than you think it is
Indeed. So many people I knew, thought full self driving, any weather, any road, fully AI, would be here by 2015. Then 20.
I doubt we will have it before 2050.
Re:Ask HN: Seriously, steelman this please. 7,400 employees ...
by startupsales on Wednesday September 28, 2022 @06:18PM
(#33013977)
you're assuming sales conversations will be necessary in the future. I do not think that will be true for most purchases. It is much easier to match buyers with the right product based on their buying criteria. This is what buyers want anyway.
Re:Ask HN: Seriously, steelman this please. 7,400 employees ...
by lupire on Wednesday September 28, 2022 @04:56PM
(#33013159)
Well, Facebook is pretty good at automated advertising.
Those YouTube ads featuring pitchmen/people could be replaced by perpsnalizedt deepfake for race/gender/style that fits the target.
Re:Ask HN: Seriously, steelman this please. 7,400 employees ...
by bbarnett on Wednesday September 28, 2022 @05:02PM
(#33013219)
I think you are confusing a call centre employee, who blind calls via auto dialing, and reads a script, with a sales person selling a COTS, and doing inside sales.
There is zero comparison to this and a facebook ad, or targeted marketing.
Now increase that complexity by orders of magnitude, since we're talking about the conversational skillset that a successful salesperson would have.
Everything is possible over a long enough timeline, but when AI is advanced enough to function as a successful salesperson, there will be a large number of other jobs that AI will also be "replacing".
In other words, the timeline for what you're predicting is much longer than you think it is.