> Israel to attack Iran

Yeah let me start lathing. Israel will never,ever, ever attack Iran. They know they can't win and can't overthrow the government. For them it would just be a total waste of money.

Israel couldn't even defeat the Iranian sort-off proxies in Lebanon.

Israel has for 30 years had 1 main strategy in regard to Iran, try to get the US to fight Iran for them. The only reason they agree to the Iraq war was because Bush and friends promised that this was all part of a plan to isolate and pressure Iran.

Israel has been claiming that Iran is '1 year away' from nuclear weapons for literally 30 years now. They have made up fake evidence to prove that Iran had a huge nuclear weapons program (evidence that then was dismissed by the CIA and every other security agency).

> Iran is currently cooperating with Russia so it could only go south for them.

Iran is 'cooperating' with anybody that will talk to them.

Israel does not attack like the US, meaning a full scale campaign aiming for regime change. They harass a regime by conducting repeated strikes on enemy territory (see Syria, Ghaza). What Israel primarily wants is to destroy Iran's nuclear installations.

Syria and Ghaza have no means to strike back. And Israel has no capability of destroying Iran nuclear capability that why they are so obsessed with getting the US to prevent Iranians nuclear projects.

It's too far for Israel to effectively attack it. Israel would need to refuel over Turkey or Iraq, or launch from an American aircraft carrier.

i.e. it would not be a Israeli mission, it would have to be a joint mission. Or in other words America would not be able to say "Israel did it", America would have to be fully on board - and perhaps help.

And that's not something small, that's why it hasn't happened yet.

Let's think that happens.

Russia-Ukraine case made the whole world go crazy due to gas/oil and price increase in anything that touches fossil fuels.

Imagine what would happen globally by Iran settings mines in Straits of Hormuz or rain missiles on countries that are hosting US bases (Oil producers) in retaliation and pressuring global economy in order to maximize the effect of the war.

The maximum Israel can do is to slow down the progress of whatever Israil think Iran is doing, is to conduct sabotage missions in Iran, killing scientists, military commanders, cyberattacks or lobbying as much as possible in other countries for more sanctions etc and so far that has not been effective. In matter of fact, it has backfired.

It's unlikely that Iran would do that in response to an attack on their nuclear facilities. What would they gain from it? They'd just lick their wounds and move on. Iran is already fighting a proxy war against Saudi in Yemen. Their military would be eroded pretty quickly in an outright direct conflict and that would risk losing power internally. Iraq fired plenty of missiles all over the place during the gulf war and it didn't really do much. Mining the straits will likely just result in the US or some international task force taking control over those and de-mining.

All that said it's very unlikely there will be an attack on Iran. The US would much prefer to see the regime fall. That doesn't seem super likely either but attacking Iran will probably just strengthen the regime.