Re:‘Serial’ case: Adnan Syed released, conviction tossed
by ip26 on Monday September 19, 2022 @08:23PM
(#32906005)
Or their concept of “certainty” or “doubt” is different from yours.
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Re:‘Serial’ case: Adnan Syed released, conviction tossed
by ImprobableTruth on Monday September 19, 2022 @09:53PM
(#32906697)
I'm not even sure what that is really supposed to mean. If 100% precludes the potential of an event with infinitesimal likelihood (mass delusion, possession by ghosts, etc.), then as I said nobody ever gets convicted.
Otherwise, any "concept of certainty" that uses "100%" to refer to something that might not occur, is either gravely misusing mathematical notation or self-contradictory.
Re:‘Serial’ case: Adnan Syed released, conviction tossed
by Eisenstein on Tuesday September 20, 2022 @01:03AM
(#32907854)
While technically correct this is obviously not how people speak. If you ask someone 'what is the percent chance that drinking this glass of water I just got out of the tap in New York City will kill me within a few seconds?' They would respond '0%', even though by a mathematical definition that is not true.
Re:‘Serial’ case: Adnan Syed released, conviction tossed
by ImprobableTruth on Tuesday September 20, 2022 @07:31AM
(#32910332)
People generally consider context for their choice of words. Alongside 100% they were also given options such as 99.9999999%, it's clear that 100% in this case is not just used as "very likely".
Re:‘Serial’ case: Adnan Syed released, conviction tossed
by Eisenstein on Tuesday September 20, 2022 @09:03AM
(#32911081)
I didn't know they were given specific options.