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A comment on Rapid Green Energy Transition Will Likely Result in Trillions of Net Savings. Parent comment

Re:Rapid Green Energy Transition Will Likely Result in Trill... by ip26 on Saturday September 17, 2022 @04:03PM (#32881032)
It's perhaps naive and over-simplistic, but the s-curve is so well-established you can probably fit the production cost curve over time to the s-curve and get a useful prediction.

There's lots of hard work that goes into making it happen, of course.

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Re:Rapid Green Energy Transition Will Likely Result in Trill... by marcosdumay on Saturday September 17, 2022 @04:31PM (#32881285)
The s-curve has two important parameters, but looking at any amount of history before the first inflection you can only ever deduce one of them.

So, how exactly to you intent to fit the renewables (that are pre-inflection) production curves into it?

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Re:Rapid Green Energy Transition Will Likely Result in Trill... by ip26 on Sunday September 18, 2022 @12:27PM (#32888847)
You are certainly right about renewables that are pre-inflection. I was thinking of solar and wind, which I understand are both in the steep part of the S curve.
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Re:Rapid Green Energy Transition Will Likely Result in Trill... by marcosdumay on Sunday September 18, 2022 @03:24PM (#32890629)
> steep part of the S curve

What part again? Are you claiming that their growth is linear?

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