Re:Death by hockey sticks
by WoodenChair on Wednesday September 14, 2022 @12:06AM
(#32833226)
You don't even have the beginnings of any meaningful predictive curve with just a few data points. It's just selective function fitting if there's not a rich data set. For example, you can draw many curves through 2 data points, but you can also draw a straight line. The Our World in Data "Primary vs. planted forest" data that he cites for the "Old Growth Forest Cover" chart has just 2 data points (1990 and 2019).
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Re:Death by hockey sticks
by thaumasiotes on Wednesday September 14, 2022 @05:12AM
(#32834828)
> You don't even have the beginnings of any meaningful predictive curve with just a few data points. It's just selective function fitting if there's not a rich data set.
Having a rich data set doesn't help. https://twitter.com/SonerCagaptay/status/1389387850551005192