Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy
by adamisom on Tuesday September 13, 2022 @07:33PM
(#32831471)
>all people will eventually die, both today and 50 years from
I wouldn't be so sure--would you also be confident about 100 years from now? 500?
Re:Futurist prediction methods and accuracy
by O__________O on Tuesday September 13, 2022 @07:57PM
(#32831647)
In my opinion, with rare exceptions, trying to predict what will or will not change more 50 years out likely is a waste of time. For example, say you wanted to backup data for 1000 years, then it makes sense to think through the logistics. Climate change is also another good example. To me though, wondering if “cars” will still be around feels like a waste of time. As for not dying, not aware of any meaningful progress that would be of note; feel free to give a more detailed reasoning for why the future of death is increasingly uncertain.
For example: all people will eventually die, both today and 50 years from; Earth’s climate will increasingly get warmer; etc.
By collecting enough of these types of predictions, future becomes much more clear than attempting to predict what will change.