> Averaging 20 mph over non trivial distances puts you in elite territory. Most people can't sustain that, even experienced cyclists.
Probably. I've never owned a road bike so I was leaving room for the possibility that I don't know everything. (I have ridden thousands of kilometres per year in most of the last ~15 years, mostly urban or suburban, and I have considered myself fairly fit for most of those years. But who am I to tell what other people reach on lighter equipment?)
Averaging 20 mph over non trivial distances puts you in elite territory. Most people can't sustain that, even experienced cyclists. Wind and climbing eats into sustainable speed even more.