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Re:Esther Dyson vs Bill Campbell: 2002 − 2012 by gwern on Tuesday November 22, 2011 @06:18PM (#3267907)
One of the problems with that prediction, I found when recording it on PredictionBook ( http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2972 - I do this for most LBs. There aren't that many) is that it's not clear what is being increased relative to what.

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