XKCD's Randall Munroe runs Monte Carlo on Intrade's per-state markets

Re:XKCD's Randall Munroe runs Monte Carlo on Intrade's per-s... by steveplace on Saturday October 04, 2008 @12:54PM (#323547)

The "stock" for Obama is at 67.9% on inTrade. Could make 42% on money risked if you're right.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:XKCD's Randall Munroe runs Monte Carlo on Intrade's per-s... by sharksandwich on Saturday October 04, 2008 @04:18PM (#323646)

If you buy at 68 and the prop is true, you get ~47%

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:XKCD's Randall Munroe runs Monte Carlo on Intrade's per-s... by steveplace on Saturday October 04, 2008 @07:19PM (#323710)

I've never played intrade's markets, so I don't know how liquid the contracts are... but there is an arb play here if you can time it properly.

[ Parent | on HN ]