I am mostly with you, but “deliberately crashing housing and asset prices” is political suicide and I don’t see it happening. Interest rates are a good start, though.
Also, I think that considering the current labour shortages the risk of unemployment getting out of control is limited.
I do fear the fed isn’t doing what it needs to because they’re afraid of being seen as political, one way or the other. I hope we don’t have to wait until after the midterms for them to grow a pair.
I agree and I wish this mindset would disappear. Of course a central bank is political. It’s job is to keep a working economy. There are few other institutions that affect directly so many people every day, it’s the definition of politics. They might not like the optics, but each of their decision is just as political as one from any government agency.
There is some sense in insulating them to some degree from short-termist elected politicians looking for a windfall, but their smug “I know better” attitude (and the lack of accountability) is deplorable.
Sorry, that was a bit of a rant, but we should remember that a central bank is there to serve a country, not the opposite.
The Fed tends to be restrained because the monetary policy levers they have been given are deliberately a blunt instrument with extreme overshoot dangers, especially when all the indicators aren't pointing the same way, and managing the economy requires the much more targetable tool of fiscal policy controlled by Congress as well as monetary policy.
(That said, the Fed is pushing, by historical standards, really hard on its levers, raising rates at a pace not seen since 1980.)
I'm usually a Keynesian, but in this case, i think we should jack up interest rates and deliberately tank housing and asset prices, then use large scale infra investments to stop the unemployment rate rising too high.
Easier said than done, i suppose.